BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
San Diego State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
San Diego State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.82 |
15.77 (-4.05) |
19.09 |
17.93 (-1.16) |
17.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
306.36 |
279.90 (-26.46) |
316.27 |
314.69 (-1.59) |
314.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.92 |
4.48 (-0.45) |
4.96 |
4.78 (-0.18) |
4.78 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.36 |
24.61 (+3.24) |
26.64 |
29.39 (+2.75) |
29.39 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
335.18 |
372.52 (+37.34) |
407.00 |
422.36 (+15.36) |
422.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.17 |
5.66 (+0.49) |
6.42 |
6.75 (+0.33) |
6.75 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
Ohio |
17.95 |
17.72 |
-0.22 |
35.67 |
50.36% |
W 20-13 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-03 |
Idaho State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 36-28 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
UCLA |
9.93 |
26.17 |
+16.23 |
36.10 |
23.96% |
L 10-35 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Oregon State |
9.98 |
43.13 |
+33.15 |
53.11 |
0.10% |
L 9-26 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Boise State |
17.90 |
32.84 |
+14.93 |
50.74 |
26.05% |
L 31-34 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Air Force |
15.01 |
28.59 |
+13.58 |
43.61 |
28.22% |
L 10-49 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@Hawai'i |
25.94 |
22.14 |
-3.80 |
48.08 |
56.10% |
W 41-34 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-22 |
Nevada |
25.39 |
13.50 |
-11.89 |
38.89 |
69.08% |
L 0-6 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Utah State |
31.32 |
33.02 |
+1.70 |
64.33 |
47.27% |
L 24-32 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Colorado State |
22.83 |
26.07 |
+3.23 |
48.90 |
44.81% |
L 19-22 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@San José State |
17.75 |
32.81 |
+15.06 |
50.56 |
25.85% |
L 13-24 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Fresno State |
20.64 |
27.44 |
+6.79 |
48.08 |
39.10% |
W 33-18 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.34% |
| 2-10 |
2.91% |
| 3-9 |
10.62% |
| 4-8 |
20.97% |
| 5-7 |
26.37% |
| 6-6 |
21.55% |
| 7-5 |
11.92% |
| 8-4 |
4.25% |
| 9-3 |
0.94% |
| 10-2 |
0.12% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |